Monday, September 26, 2005
Football Week 3
Sophia is completely whipping me at picking games. Three weeks in a row she'll have outpicked me. Time to ask her about strategy.
The pigskin picker algorithm did worse than me this week (7 vs 8 correct). I think I'm going to have to add a few more categories next year: strength of schedule, record at home, record away, ...
The leading indicator after 3 weeks is the Foxsports Power Rating with 31 correct picks followed by the home team with 28. I only have 23 which matches the mascot rating picks which should be no better but potentially worse than random. And, I think I'm at exactly 50% which is random. It makes sense that the Power Ratings should be fairly good as some expert is analyzing the same data and lots more.
The Chargers played more like the team everyone expected this week. The trouble for them is that the next four of the next five games are against really solid opponents and so I anticipate road losses at New England and Philadelphia and wins at home against the Steelers and Chiefs plus a win on the road in Oakland to put their first half record at 4-4. That sounds a lot better than 0-2 though. But if they get some unlucky bounces, they could be 2-6. Go Bolts!