Tuesday, September 20, 2005
Football Week 2
So I think I'll have to listen to the results of my Pigskin Picker program instead of my football instincts. I had 6 games correct when using the home team, better record (and home team to break ties), and points scored, and points allowed, and the picker (which uses all the above) each had 11 of 16 correct. I didn't do any better than random. In fact, worse than projected by picking random teams.
Hehe. Scratch that. I forgot to change the current week to "Two".
I actually picked 9 of 16 this week! /cheers. Better than random and better than all the other predictors except "home team." The home team won 10 (or 11 if you included the NY Giants.) For fairness in disclosure, points scored also projected 9 winners.
The computer is smarter than I am. But I should get better as the season progresses -- and unfortunately so should the computer's composite technique.
In comparison, ESPN expert picks have a range of 6 to 11 winners this week and 14 to 19 for the season. I can't believe I'm better than some of the experts and find it impossible to believe that using the home team would out pace all the experts.
No surprise but San Diego lost again (they haven't won in Denver at the new stadium (ever). Maybe next year...